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Нарешті дочекались: Нацбанк знижує облікову ставку вперше за два роки

Національний банк України з 26 квітня прийняв рішення знизити облікову ставку на 0,5 п. п. – до 17,5% річних, вперше за два роки – з травня 2017 року.

“Правління Національного банку України прийняло рішення знизити облікову ставку до 17,5% річних з 26 квітня 2019 року”, – передають в НБУ.

У НБУ також зазначили, що перешкодою для зниження інфляції може стати реалізація ризиків (посилення невизначеності в рік президентських і парламентських виборів), а також рецесія світової економіки та зниження цін на ринках сировини, невизначеність до обсягів транзиту газу через українську державу до 2020 року в результаті будівництва обхідних газопроводів в Європу, ескалація військового конфлікту і нові торгові обмеження з боку Росії.

“Починаючи цикл зниження облікової ставки, правління зазначає, що подальші кроки залежатимуть від реалізації інфляційних ризиків і покращення інфляційних очікувань”, – зазначають в НБУ.

6 червня відбудеться наступне засідання правління НБУ з питань монетарної політики. Нацбанк в березні вирішив зберегти облікову ставку на рівні 18% річних – після аналогічного рішення в жовтні та грудні 2018, а також у січні 2019 року.

Востаннє Нацбанк знижував облікову ставку майже два роки тому – у травні 2017 року, після чого зберігав або підвищував її. Максимальна історичне значення облікової ставки на рівні 30% річних діяло в Україні з 4 березня по 28 серпня 2015 року.

Державний бюджет України на поточний рік заснований на макроекономічному прогнозі зі зростанням ВВП на 3% при інфляції 7,4%.

Нацбанк також прогнозує у 2019 році уповільнення інфляції до позначки 6,3%, Міжнародний валютний фонд і Світовий банк – до 7,3%.

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